Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.460469 0.505791 0.554397 0.610527 0.673718 0.742834 0.824395
2025-11-09 0.378696 0.440043 0.510514 0.597976 0.704338 0.830411 0.992527
2025-11-16 0.338970 0.409071 0.493446 0.603542 0.744976 0.922711 1.166411
2025-11-23 0.306140 0.380427 0.473153 0.599045 0.768072 0.990915 1.313338
2025-11-30 0.283596 0.361353 0.461503 0.602267 0.798795 1.069304 1.480428
2025-12-07 0.261026 0.339640 0.443603 0.594096 0.811402 1.121980 1.615060
2025-12-14 0.242169 0.321010 0.427751 0.586413 0.822634 1.172128 1.750057
2025-12-21 0.222029 0.298918 0.405089 0.566487 0.813148 1.189162 1.833522
2025-12-28 0.213378 0.292155 0.403299 0.576474 0.848925 1.278411 2.044831
2026-01-04 0.204900 0.284913 0.400059 0.583622 0.880371 1.363238 2.259076
2026-01-11 0.196322 0.276865 0.394893 0.587072 0.905717 1.439930 2.468461
2026-01-18 0.188357 0.269155 0.389587 0.589636 0.929418 1.515653 2.685808
2026-01-25 0.181409 0.262690 0.385943 0.594878 0.958639 1.605186 2.945512
2026-02-01 0.171065 0.250406 0.372419 0.582743 0.956505 1.637559 3.095402
2026-02-08 0.165392 0.245052 0.369508 0.588136 0.985833 1.731504 3.388237
2026-02-15 0.158174 0.236815 0.361364 0.583778 0.996709 1.790714 3.614511
2026-02-22 0.152993 0.231538 0.357706 0.586900 1.021635 1.880170 3.923695
2026-03-01 0.146116 0.223126 0.348299 0.578981 1.024546 1.924730 4.134260
2026-03-08 0.139817 0.215348 0.339515 0.571535 1.027624 1.969761 4.353382
2026-03-15 0.131874 0.204464 0.324844 0.552220 1.005342 1.957815 4.426112
2026-03-22 0.129352 0.202575 0.325630 0.561901 1.042751 2.081110 4.874727
2026-03-29 0.126513 0.199993 0.325025 0.568830 1.074994 2.196536 5.325398
2026-04-05 0.123268 0.196550 0.322681 0.572174 1.099857 2.297730 5.756841